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Author Topic: The Churchill Downs Fall Pick of the Day  (Read 1363 times)
Daddys Next
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« Reply #25 on: November 11, 2012, 12:08:00 PM »

My Churchill pick for the day, and my logic   .......   Wait Til Dawn in the 4th race at Churchill today.  This is my reasoning   .....   a Pletcher horse, that has past stakes experience running in an allowance race for non-winners of three.  Generally, it concerns me when horses are running off of a five month layoff.  But, Pletcher's connections are generally pretty wealthy, so they usually do what is right by the horse/filly (unless they are pressing to make an important race, such as the Kentucky Derby, Breeders Cup, etc. or other such important race that the race dictates the schedule and not the horse's condition).  So, when Pletcher is not under the gun to get a horse to an important race, then he runs the horse in races that "come up" on the horses schedule.  Thus, he can pick and choose, and in the case of today's race at Churchill, even though the quality filly is coming off of a 5 month layoff, she is probably ready to run her race today.  I will comment on my pick after the races today.  Good luck to all. 
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Daddys Next
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« Reply #26 on: November 11, 2012, 02:08:39 PM »

Well, bad call on my part.  Not even close. Bad to the handicapping board.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #27 on: November 13, 2012, 07:51:45 PM »

Savage Vow came in 1st. It paid $5.20 to win, $3.20 to place and $2.40 to show. We won $10.80 and made a $4.80 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #28 on: November 13, 2012, 07:57:40 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
11      2   3   1   18 

Investment: $66
Money: $41.20
ROI: -$27.60
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journalstuff
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« Reply #29 on: November 13, 2012, 08:20:51 PM »

November 14:
Race 10:
5. Artillery (7-2)
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orioles
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« Reply #30 on: November 14, 2012, 09:26:31 AM »

November 14:
Race 10:
5. Artillery (7-2)
 #6 Pride Rock   Lets do a 5-6 per box.
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pamwaggy
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« Reply #31 on: November 14, 2012, 05:49:17 PM »

Journalstuff  . .

What JoeMama, I think, was trying to tell you, is that you are starting too many "pick of the day" posts here.  And answering your own posts too many times. 

There is no reason to be picking so many tracks every single day of racing.  It would be better to have one once in a while and a reason for it and maybe ask if anyone else has better one or agrees with yours. 
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