Rosecroft selections for Tuesday October 9th

[3 wide and wingin]

race 1
4. go nano go- in good form
2. loose deuce- almost picked on top, capable of winning this
3. take charge guy- scratch sick a concern
5. master in charge- 5 months off a concern
1. lucky charm- lack of aggressiveness from driver a concern

race 2
4. caviart tyler- in super form right now
5. I told gordy- also in career form, will be favored
1. idealist- chris page
3. talbot redneck- loves it here and will win one of these weeks
2. acardi- when the barn gets hot will note it and bet acordingly

race 3
2. art for living- hot rcr connections at this time
4. pw rainbow- picking up page
9. last outlaw- post really hurts but is a contender
1. brave hearted- hubble braden always big time combo here
3. high concentrated- losses older vincent for the younger one
6. latest buzz- walters pick
8. desert turbulance- closer
7. cat five storm- new connections but still tough to use
5. linganore- needs to come home faster than 32

race 4
5. shady breeze- really nice rce horse
4. varsity hanover- third last week
2. toms torpedo- rounding into form?
3. in front charlie- tough to gauge
1. mcknows- in tough, had a real clunker last week, when on his game big time rcr horse

race 5
7. pattysloosechange- lukewarm selection
8. pegasus man- won last week, broke the week before. post hurts
4. vinegar hill- missed a week, in ok form
2. big tejano- the warden
3. sjs warrior- when hes right hes really good here
5. johnhannibalsmith- driver will be aggressive?
1. beautiful legacy- should be well placed
6. rocket master- all or nothing type here bet on top or pitch

race 6
1. el cumanchero- rail and speed, will have to lose it
6. lost heart- will be closing
7. blisful silence- old guy has back class
8. one card please- will he leave?
9. riverpath- will the 9 ever win ? i like this one though
2. only vegas- the warden
5. what a boomer- maybe back side
3. gold star smokin- new driver
4. amazing toy- trainer is driving

race 7
3. gone nuclear- nice horse
8. nightmare affair- some speed and a driver who can find a hole
1. kung fu jolt- inside and has a good driver
6. private interview- in good form
2. harmony oaks rengo- hot trainer
9. bodine hanover- some decent times but post position and lack of speed could mean running into lots of trouble
5. delaware fortune- first time jb
4. bucktown badboy- raced big last time out
7. brighton bay one- clyde is driving this week

race 8
7. cedar hall boy- winner last week
3. michaels dream- JVs pick
6. rocket rosy- in good form , picks up milby
2. people are crazy- like the connections
9. mackenzi MC- lots to like, except the post
1. come on ridge- its hip to be B squared
4. red eye whiskey- winner last week
5. matts all star- favorite last week, finished 4th
8. big city joe- tough to read

race 9
5. goldstar legend-  very tough to cap, will just pick milby
9. cedar hall road- maybe the best? but will have to start from tier 2
4. little boy- T.O.
8. okeecheebee joe- old guy is out wide, will need some racing luck
6. blue time frosty- scratched injured  last week, is healed? i hope so
2. montibello ike- some speed to be well placed
1. oereti beach n- also should be well placed
3. badlands lad- suck along for back half ? maybe
7. the dragonflyzzz- tough to recomend, but use all in those 10 cent supers.

[jdizigg]

race 1
4. go nano go- in good form
2. loose deuce- almost picked on top, capable of winning this
3. take charge guy- scratch sick a concern
5. master in charge- 5 months off a concern
1. lucky charm- lack of aggressiveness from driver a concern

race 2
4. caviart tyler- in super form right now
5. I told gordy- also in career form, will be favored
1. idealist- chris page
3. talbot redneck- loves it here and will win one of these weeks
2. acardi- when the barn gets hot will note it and bet acordingly

race 3
2. art for living- hot rcr connections at this time
4. pw rainbow- picking up page
9. last outlaw- post really hurts but is a contender
1. brave hearted- hubble braden always big time combo here
3. high concentrated- losses older vincent for the younger one
6. latest buzz- walters pick
8. desert turbulance- closer
7. cat five storm- new connections but still tough to use
5. linganore- needs to come home faster than 32

race 4
5. shady breeze- really nice rce horse
4. varsity hanover- third last week
2. toms torpedo- rounding into form?
3. in front charlie- tough to gauge
1. mcknows- in tough, had a real clunker last week, when on his game big time rcr horse

race 5
7. pattysloosechange- lukewarm selection
8. pegasus man- won last week, broke the week before. post hurts
4. vinegar hill- missed a week, in ok form
2. big tejano- the warden
3. sjs warrior- when hes right hes really good here
5. johnhannibalsmith- driver will be aggressive?
1. beautiful legacy- should be well placed
6. rocket master- all or nothing type here bet on top or pitch

race 6
1. el cumanchero- rail and speed, will have to lose it
6. lost heart- will be closing
7. blisful silence- old guy has back class
8. one card please- will he leave?
9. riverpath- will the 9 ever win ? i like this one though
2. only vegas- the warden
5. what a boomer- maybe back side
3. gold star smokin- new driver
4. amazing toy- trainer is driving

Good luck 

[3 wide and wingin]

Good luck 

Thanks

With Chester reopening and Colonail still racing there is a bit of a shortage of horses.

Good luck all.

[Maniac]

3 wide I think you meant Tuesday

[3 wide and wingin]

3 wide I think you meant Tuesday

Thank you

 

[Tuggit]

Race 1
4. Go Nano Go- No Wagner, but, Has Braden, which is also solid option. Happy to not see Baximum here.
2. Loose Deuce- Stakes filly has raced well this year could easily get second money.
5. Master in Charge- Wonder if he needs one, Q was so-so and hasn't raced since may.
3. Take Charge Guy- Ultra consistent for solid trot drive in Bill Long.
1. Lucky Charm- Was not in good form when he took a month off.

Race 2
4. Caviart Tyler- Has been at the top level, and on paper gets the call. Not afraid to throw in clunker.See form post OD.
5. I told Gordy-Career best form and frankly last week's group was tougher than this outside of 4.
3. Talbot Redneck-As he stepped up the ladder, the rungs fell off.
1. Idealist- 5-time winner has no gate speed to utilize rail.
2. Acardi- Underachiever finally broke through at bottom level.

Race 3
2. Art For Living- Frankly should crush these as he bottoms out here class wise.
4. PW Rainbow- Been racing against better. All good foes he's lost to. Last winner has won 2 straight.
9. Last Outlaw- I fear something is not right with this horse. No Check at Bottom level last  time is scary. One more chance.
1. Brave Hearted- There is no speed in this race at all. Look at bottom line on 7-18 Will He steal it on engine?
6. Latest Buzz- Has been racing against better. but 0-54.
3. High Concentrated- 1-45. Not impossible on underside here though.
8. Desert Turbulence- Don't be surprised if Brenneman fires here in a race with 00000000 speed.
5. Linganore- Should literally be a riding horse right now. 1-44 life as a 7 yr old.
7. Cat Five Storm- If he wins its the biggest upset in horse racing history. Period. I will be fixed on battle between 5 and 7 at the back.

Race 4
5. Shady Breeze- Wondering if its worth the $2500 here. Has been so good in major PASS Stakes. Gave way in pocket in last.
4. Varsity Hanover- Not for sale, but has been in tough miles since returning late August. Running out of excuses.
2. Tom's Torpedo- Milby likely first over here. They can all fire. Someone has to get away third.
1. McKnows- Cut ridiculous fractions in last and obviously gave way.
3. In Front Charlie- Faltered in MDSS final at OD when we last saw him. Would be surprise to see him beat this bunch.

Race 5
7. Pattysloosechange- Not much speed to the inside. Milby a master to get one revved up. She has been suspect in final qtr last two.
8. Pegasus Man- Welty may float out to find a seast. If he gets seated he could be the winner.
5. JohnHannibalSmith- Shows faster at Chester with little monetary reward.
4. Vinegar Hill- Usually good here. Reunited with Braden who has done some good work with him.
3. SJ's Warrior- Has gobbled up a lot of cash lately. Not impossible, but now trotting like 10 yr old. Up and down form.
2. Big Tejano- Close field, may be well placed here and could be live longshot.
1. Beautiful Legacy- Has been on board in last two but no threat to win. currently showing 0-33.
6. Rocket Master. suspect form right now.

Race 6
7. Blissful Silence- Has been taking on monsters of late. Has speed to get early tuck, and blast in final quarter. Value play.
1. El Cumanchero- back to form in last. If Warrington can rate soft middle half again, he could be home free.
6. Lost Heart. Milby Choice here. Raced good last time. Looms a threat.
9. Riverpath- Had two amazing wins at the ocean. Never know what your getting but has Page.
3. Gold Star Smokin- Been in against better with decent results.
2. Only Vegas- One more chance here. Has gobbled cash like pac man in last two. Bill Long Choice.
8. One Card Please- Big effort three starts back and 47 3/4 back in last two. Yikes.
4. Amazing Toy- Buddy Bright returns to the bike! hit board in two of last three.
5. What a Boomer- Must go faster. paying for those two wins at Ocean now in class.

Race 7
3. Gone Nuclear- Race was written for him to fit. Tough to see him losing with major class drop here.
8. Nightmare Affair- Also written into class to fit. Raced well in last two. Page stays.
9. Bodine Hanover- Another that has raced against better with little return. Should be able to handle most of these.
6. Private Interview- Sharp in last two. Must use in underside.
2. Harmony Oaks Rengo- Finally got a good trip in last, but against softer.
7. Brighton Bay One- Overmatched in last. May be tough to get into this one.
1. Kung Fu Jolt- Could skim the rail to check.
4. Bucktown Badboy- Much better in last two. can he go faster against this tough bunch?
5. Delaware Fortune- Scored against Softer two back. Must go faster here.

Race 8
9. Mckenzie MC- Will finally graduate from this class unless he gets no check. Expect big effort.
7. Cedar Hall Boy- Huge effort last time. Loses Wagner, but gets Page.
6. Rocket Rosy- Very Sharp against softer in last two. Been good since layoff overall. Lot of speed to her inside. Gets Milby.
3. Michaels Dream- Surprised he couldnt get to the winner last time. still in decent form and Vincent choice over 6 and 4.
4. Red eye Whiskey- Sharp in last two. This is tough group. could set up big early fraction if he leaves.
1. Come On Ridge- Improving sort out of average mare. Victimized by poor paperwork in last so he had to scratch.
2. People Are Crazy- Competitive enough to hit the board. Good field.
5. Matts All Star- Milby chose off, but gets carter who was regular driver before getting hurt. Could win with big speed duel which likely will commence.
8. Big City Joe- Must go faster to beat this bunch.

Race 9
9. Cedar Hall Road- Both horses in barn were tons better last Tuesday. Coincidence? Plus Braden sticks here over 4.
4. Little Boy- Comes down class ladder with fading form.
5. GoldStar Legend- Another bottoming out in class but has Milby again.
1. Oreti beach N- Made late bid to lead before getting beat in last.
2. Montabello Ike- gets away from some young talent. Lot of early foot, not so much late.
3. Badlands Lad- Suck along miles may make him overbet here.
8. Okeechobee joe- Hit the board once at this level and now gets post 8.
7. This Dragonflyzzz no checks at this level after pacing 154 for Eric Carlson at PHl. Not suck along mile comment on 3.
6. Blue Time Frosty- Scratched injured in last. No endorsement off that despite Page.

[3 wide and wingin]

Thanks tuggit.

I refuse to pick a 9 on top.

Too much traffic at RCR starting from the second tier. But the last race was as close as I have come to picking one but I didn't. And Mckenzie MC comes from way back anyway. But will be extra far back this week.

Looks like we both are seeing a big night for Milby.

[Tuggit]

Picks up good drives from Wagner not being here and some interesting choices by him and Vincent through the card...Both 9's in late double are flexible sorts. Mckenzie Mc can win when he wants and I think he will tonight /. Clearly has been racing to stAY IN CLASS.

[3 wide and wingin]

Picks up good drives from Wagner not being here and some interesting choices by him and Vincent through the card...Both 9's in late double are flexible sorts. Mckenzie Mc can win when he wants and I think he will tonight /. Clearly has been racing to stAY IN CLASS.

The Wagner driven horse that beat him last week was simply super.
I love betting the Warden. Especialy on a trotter. This is a pace.
But hes going to be coming from way back there. Very tough task.
Under normal circumstances ( different post. Even the 8) I might have picked both.

Stats on the 9 post so far at Rosecroft?

27 starts 0 wins 1 second and 1 third.

Too many suspect horses and drivers between the second tier and the winners circle.

[Tuggit]

Tons of speed in race 8 the first half will be ridiculous sets up perfect for 9...

[3 wide and wingin]

Tons of speed in race 8 the first half will be ridiculous sets up perfect for 9...

You have talked me into moving the 9 ahead of the 2 in my selections for race 8.
But that still only has me putting him 2nd and 3rd.

[Tuggit]

Race 8 has three wide first turn potential there is so much speed in there.

[3 wide and wingin]

Race 8 has three wide first turn potential there is so much speed in there.

I see a 6/3 or 3/6 line up with the 4 sitting 3rd. Offutt wont gun this week is my guess.

7 beat the 9 last week. They both will be flying late.
7 should get the jump on the 9

Page to me is = to Wagner so the drivers change is not bad.

Now if the 3 rated a mile or sat the pocket?
winner possibly

[3 wide and wingin]

Just talked to my buddy Frank Riviello.

Couple of points the name is pronounced riv - ELLO

And the nickname is the Italian stallion.  Use it wisely.

 

Oh we have fun at Rosecroft.

[Mdcapper48]

Long will lose run 3rd or 4th on mac mc. He just cant improve a horse. He use to be  good with trotters but this meet cant win with anything. I'm betting milby, page, braden drives tonight regardless of odds.

[clubhouse]

If anyone is interested here is my take on the 9th.
#4 Little Boy drops in class and is in a terriffic spot to get away 5th or 6th and ride some good cover against
very weak speed.
#3 has beaten better although with favorable fractions and should be used in the exotics as well as
#5 who has some speed and that should land him a piece.
super>  4 / 3,5 / 3,5,8,9 / 1,2,3,5,7,8,9    $3   for the dime play.

[Tuggit]

Only scratch is Race 6 #2

[Mr_Ed]

Any good SealsCroft selections?

[Tuggit]

Diamond Girl!!!!


Looks like chris Page is going to be a no show.....


walter Callahan on #1 in race 2 late driver change

[Juicejunkies]

Diamond Girl!!!!


Looks like chris Page is going to be a no show.....


walter Callahan on #1 in race 2 late driver change

TY.

[Tuggit]

Brian Burton on #4 PW Rainbow Race 3

[Juicejunkies]

Race 2.

#1 looks like he should be tough with these.   bad post.

145 is all that is in the race.

[Juicejunkies]

A good line there would have been..."that damn juicejunkies turned the page on my program."

Race 3

2/134

[Tuggit]

Justin Vincent a flat tire......

Billy Carter drives #4 Varsity Hanover in the 4th

[Juicejunkies]

Justin Vincent a flat tire......

Billy Carter drives #4 Varsity Hanover in the 4th

any idea what happened to mcknows last week as the chalk?

[Tuggit]

Fastest 3 year old ever...Shady Breeze breaks  3 yr old record of Presidential Ball and Cams Card Shark  1:50

[Juicejunkies]

Fastest 3 year old ever...Shady Breeze breaks  3 yr old record of Presidential Ball and Cams Card Shark  1:50

That was an amazing mile.

Race 6

I like 67.

[Juicejunkies]

How does Milby get off at $11???

You gotta hate money to have even gave a sniff to Warrington from the wood.   Worst post on a 5/8 mile.

[Blue Chip55]

How does Milby get off at $11???

You gotta hate money to have even gave a sniff to Warrington from the wood.   Worst post on a 5/8 mile.

 

[Juicejunkies]

Again at 9$ they let Milby go off.
LOL.
What is wrong with folks?

[Tuggit]

Milby with five wins in 8 races ...the curse of the 9-hole continues

[Juicejunkies]

Milby with five wins in 8 races ...the curse of the 9-hole continues

Why don't they start 9 across there?

[Tuggit]

we used too years ago....not sure now why...be tight on the far outside with the wall and slope of track

[Juicejunkies]

race 9

54

[Tuggit]

I like the 9 but the other Cedar Hall horse was awful....scares me....

[clubhouse]

Race 9    4 with 3&5

[Juicejunkies]

Milby 6 wins.

Barred from wagering Saturday night.

[clubhouse]

The announcer called him George Brennan Jr.

[3 wide and wingin]

Why don't they start 9 across there?

I was told because the track is unsafe way out there.

Personally as a 9 Id rather be there than the second tier.

[3 wide and wingin]

any idea what happened to mcknows last week as the chalk?

He is an in and type. Who ironically popped his big race in a qualifier 3 weeks ago.

He will pop another one of these nights.

[3 wide and wingin]

Hope people made some money.

When I do my selections. I rate 4 RCR drivers as ++
They are Milby, Braden, Wagner and Page.

With page not here you needed to readjust the selections. That goes for any of those 4 being off a drive.

Congrats to Frank on the 6 bagger and Chris Welty for the track record on Shady Breeze.

Hope people played along and made some money.
Where some gifts this evening.

Track is smoking fast again. On the 27th if its not bitter cold Goo is gonna go fast.
That's going to be fun.

[Croft]

Pete's scorecard for the meet :

The top selection to win wins 38% for a -8% ROI and pays a median $3.80

The top selection to place wins 62% for a +3% ROI and pays a median $3.20

The top selection to show wins 73% for a +2% ROI and pays a median $2.40

The top two selections in a 2-horse exacta box wins 16% for a -33% ROI and pays a median $9.20

The top three selections in a 3-horse exacta box wins 49% for a -12% ROI and pays a median $15.10

The top three selections in a 3-horse triple box wins 16% for a -36% ROI and pays a median $41.80

The top four selections in a 4-horse triple box wins 31% for a -47% ROI and pays a median $55.50



3WW's scorecard for the meet :

The top selection to win wins 30% for a -13% ROI and pays a median $3.80

The top selection to place wins 44% for a -19% ROI and pays a median $2.60

The top selection to show wins 49% for a -27% ROI and pays a median $2.60

The top two selections in a 2-horse exacta box wins 12% for a -50% ROI and pays a median $9.20

The top three selections in a 3-horse exacta box wins 42% for a -23% ROI and pays a median $19.40

The top three selections in a 3-horse triple box wins 7% for a -84% ROI and pays a median $10.40(!)

The top four selections in a 4-horse triple box wins 23% for a -58% ROI and pays a median $72.30



Now compare these gentlemen's record with the crowd as a whole, as measured by the post time favorites.


The Crowd's scorecard for the meet :

The top selection to win wins 44% for a -10% ROI and pays a median $3.90

The top selection to place wins 63% for a -7% ROI and pays a median $2.80

The top selection to show wins 70% for a -3% ROI and pays a median $2.50

The top two selections in a 2-horse exacta box wins 22% for a -14% ROI and pays a median $14.40

The top three selections in a 3-horse exacta box wins 47% for a -2% ROI and pays a median $18.20

The top three selections in a 3-horse triple box wins 14% for a -45% ROI and pays a median $43.50

The top four selections in a 4-horse triple box wins 39% for a -12% ROI and pays a median $66.50

[Juicejunkies]

am i the crowd?
i only posted a few horses.

[jdizigg]

Hope people made some money.

When I do my selections. I rate 4 RCR drivers as ++
They are Milby, Braden, Wagner and Page.

With page not here you needed to readjust the selections. That goes for any of those 4 being off a drive.

Congrats to Frank on the 6 bagger and Chris Welty for the track record on Shady Breeze.

Hope people played along and made some money.
Where some gifts this evening.

Track is smoking fast again. On the 27th if its not bitter cold Goo is gonna go fast.
That's going to be fun.

Great job bud 

[3 wide and wingin]

Great job bud 

I gave out a few winners.
Sometimes I do feel like Doyle Brunson and super system.

If people want to bet the 9 they need to fire away.

 

If people don't lose the others cant win.

[NIATROSS]

Great job bud