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Author Topic: The Keeneland Fall Pick of the Day  (Read 2509 times)
journalstuff
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« on: October 04, 2012, 08:52:45 PM »

It'll be a 2 dollar across the board wager. It'll always be the most likely winner of the day.

October 5:
Race 8:
8. Lonesome Street (5-1)
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coldpunch
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2012, 07:38:29 AM »

i will give you my plays and i dont like Keeneland

race 1--Ramon Dominguez
race 5--Ramon Dominguez
race 8--Ramon Dominguez
race 9--Ramon Dominguez

good luck to all and be sure and watch Todd Schrupp foam at the mouth and really lay it on thick
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journalstuff
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2012, 08:28:19 AM »

A die hard Ramon Dominguez fan
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Yimmy
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2012, 08:44:20 AM »

That's quite the inductive leap.
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coldpunch
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2012, 10:00:18 AM »

That's quite the inductive leap.

one thing assured--he will have all four in a perfect spot turning for home--what more can you ask?
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Yimmy
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2012, 10:38:26 AM »

Well, whether San Pail = good trotter.  Wink
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journalstuff
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2012, 06:05:08 PM »

Lonesome Street didn't hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2012, 08:14:33 PM »

October 6:
Race 10:
2. Ocean Bertie (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #8 on: October 06, 2012, 09:37:39 PM »

Ocean Bertie came in 2nd. It paid $7.40 to place and $4.60 to show. We won $12.00 and made a $6.00 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #9 on: October 06, 2012, 09:57:06 PM »

October 7:
Race 3:
7. Coffee Boy (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #10 on: October 07, 2012, 09:36:30 PM »

Coffee Boy didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #11 on: October 07, 2012, 09:41:56 PM »

I will have stats for my picks of the day for the season at the Keeneland Fall. Also, an ROI as well. It'll be overall throughout the season.


Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
3      0   1   0   0   

Investment: $18
Money: $12.00
ROI: -$6.00
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journalstuff
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« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2012, 11:17:11 PM »

October 10:
Race 1:
2. Southern Joy (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2012, 01:01:06 PM »

Southern Joy came in 1st. It paid $5.20 to win, $3.40 to place and $2.60 to show. We won $11.20 and made a $5.20 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2012, 08:54:52 PM »

October 11:
Race 4:
11. Outofsiteoutofmind (12-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #15 on: October 11, 2012, 06:24:00 PM »

Outofsiteoutofmind came in 1st. It paid $29.00 to win, $12.20 to place and $5.60 to show. We won $46.80 and made a $34.80 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #16 on: October 11, 2012, 07:43:24 PM »

Outofsiteoutofmind came in 1st. It paid $29.00 to win, $12.20 to place and $5.60 to show. We won $46.80 and made a $34.80 profit.


I picked this runner because the horse broke the madien in the most recent start and it has a good late kick for the end so that's why I thought this race smelled longshot since I don't find a guy like Todd Pletcher in claimers to be very trustable. Today was a day of longshots at Keeneland and I chose the right longshot with our Pick of the Day. Finally, the horse I thought fits with this kind of class company too since he broke the madien in a claiming too.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #17 on: October 11, 2012, 09:12:35 PM »

October 12:
Race 6:
3. Looking Cool (5-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #18 on: October 12, 2012, 09:48:10 PM »

Looking Cool didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #19 on: October 12, 2012, 09:58:35 PM »

October 13:
Race 6:
5. Adacent (2-1)
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HorseVoice*
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« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2012, 12:47:08 PM »

I applaud what you are trying to do, young j-stuff, but Keeneland is way too competitive IMO to simply try to isolate so-called "most likely winners"; as you have already seen, it's hard to get these home, simply because there are SO many other live horses in each race. EVERYONE wants their horse to win a race at Keeneland.

So go for price.

In the 7th today at Keeneland, Bill Mott sends out #5 Psychadelacized out for her second lifetime effort after a useful "lookaround" debut at Saratoga. Mott is notorious for taking it easy on his first-time starters, so I expect a much better effort here, but what caught my eye was the dam side of this one's breeding: he's out of a Halo mare named Taegu.

AYFKM? Halo, sire of Kentucky Derby winners Sunny's Halo and Sunday Silence, among numerous other black-type stakes winners, still has daughters roaming around, breeding? WOW. Halo was pensioned in 1997 and died in 2000, so Taegu had to be from Halo's last crop.

Win or lose today, keep and eye PSYCHADELACIZED. She could be something special.

 
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journalstuff
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« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2012, 04:44:37 PM »

Thank you HV it's so tough and we were lucky to get home a 13-1 shot on Thursday and it was our pick of the day
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journalstuff
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« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2012, 04:56:19 PM »

October 14:
Race 9:
2. Go Getem (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2012, 05:26:21 PM »

Adjacent didn't hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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HorseVoice*
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« Reply #24 on: October 14, 2012, 07:10:46 AM »

Thank you HV it's so tough and we were lucky to get home a 13-1 shot on Thursday and it was our pick of the day

It was a very good selection. I wouldn't call it "luck", though.

You see what is happening to your 2-1 shots, right? Keep going for price, instead.
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« Reply #25 on: October 14, 2012, 09:55:11 AM »

You know of all the meets I've done this is the toughest meet I've ever done!! HV, I keep looking trying for some more prices so will continue next week to look for more
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« Reply #26 on: October 14, 2012, 08:30:35 PM »

Go Getem didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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« Reply #27 on: October 14, 2012, 08:36:37 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
8      2   1   0   25   

Investment: $48
Money: $70.00
ROI: +$22.00
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« Reply #28 on: October 16, 2012, 05:45:18 PM »

October 17:
Race 5:
8. Frances Gardner (4-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #29 on: October 17, 2012, 07:48:18 PM »

Frances Gardner came in 1st. It paid $18.20 to win, $8.60 to place and $4.40 to show. We won $31.20 and made a $25.20 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #30 on: October 17, 2012, 07:56:03 PM »

October 18:
Race 1:
12. Lungs (8-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #31 on: October 18, 2012, 09:47:19 PM »

Lungs didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #32 on: October 18, 2012, 10:04:43 PM »

October 19:
Race 4:
7. Mile Range (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #33 on: October 19, 2012, 08:48:19 PM »

Mile Range didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #34 on: October 19, 2012, 08:56:20 PM »

October 20:
Rrace 6:
3. Minotaur (9-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #35 on: October 20, 2012, 09:54:19 PM »

Minotaur didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2012, 09:55:08 PM »

October 21:
Race 2:
4. Holdin Bullets (9-5)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #37 on: October 21, 2012, 03:55:38 PM »

Holdin Bullets was scratched. So we didnít have no Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #38 on: October 21, 2012, 03:56:20 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
12      3   1   0   25   

Investment: $72
Money: $101.20
ROI: +$29.20
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journalstuff
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« Reply #39 on: October 23, 2012, 07:42:37 PM »

October 24:
Race 7:
2. Praia (5-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #40 on: October 24, 2012, 09:59:41 PM »

Praia came in 2nd. It paid $5.20 to place and $4.40 to show. We won $9.60 and made a $3.60 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #41 on: October 24, 2012, 10:00:02 PM »

October 25:
Race 1:
3. Bye Love You (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #42 on: October 25, 2012, 04:06:58 PM »

Bye Love you didn't hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #43 on: October 25, 2012, 08:32:58 PM »

October 26:
Race 8:
9. Zermatt (4-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #44 on: October 26, 2012, 09:28:35 PM »

Zermatt came in 3rd. It paid $2.60 to show and thatís how much we won. We lost -$3.40.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #45 on: October 26, 2012, 09:49:02 PM »

October 27:
Race 10:
4. Inazuma (4-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #46 on: October 27, 2012, 08:35:20 PM »

Inazuma didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #47 on: October 27, 2012, 08:36:00 PM »

Here's our final Keeneland Fall stat:
Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
16      3   2   1   18   

Investment: $96
Money: $113.40
ROI: +$17.40

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« Reply #48 on: October 27, 2012, 08:36:24 PM »

Any Final Thoughts?
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