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Author Topic: The Santa Anita Fall Pick of the Day  (Read 2853 times)
journalstuff
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« on: September 27, 2012, 05:35:49 PM »

It'll be a 2 dollar across the board wager. It'll always be the most likely winner of the day.

September 28:
Race 3:
6. Brother Francis (8-5)
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Pius soho
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« Reply #1 on: September 27, 2012, 08:15:11 PM »

It'll be a 2 dollar across the board wager. It'll always be the most likely winner of the day.

September 28:
Race 3:
6. Brother Francis (8-5)


  Wheres Macdaddi?
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journalstuff
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« Reply #2 on: September 27, 2012, 10:10:44 PM »

  Wheres Macdaddi?
LOL!! HUH??? WHO'S THAT???
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HorseVoice*
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2012, 07:25:49 AM »

My pick of the day will be my best VALUE PLAY, a horse that has a very good chance to win AT A PRICE. (You can find the most likely winner all by yourself, if you love short prices.)

In Race 8, the inaugural running of the EDDIE D. (Gr III), Carla Gaines sends out two horses, #5 Shrug and #9 Red Sun, in a wide open field where the favorite is likely to be a $10+ horse.

The focus here is on Red Sun, a 6 year old gelding that has raced only 9 times, so he obviously has some foot or health issues but has been managed VERY carefully; it shows in his record, a stellar 5 - 2 - 2. "Ouchie" type horses don't bother my when they are given plenty time and TLC by a trainer I trust.

He's also a perfect 2 for 2 on the SA downhill turf course, gets an outside draw and has the perfect stalking style for this bunch, most of whom are prepping for the BC Turf Sprint.

Play #9 Red Sun to Win at 5-1 or more, backwheel in exacta, then play additional ex boxes with uncoupled stablemate #5 Shrug, and both of Sadler's horses, #3 Calimonco and #4 Koast.

Good luck, my Brothers from Other Mothers.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2012, 09:04:43 PM »

Brother Francis came in 3rd. It paid $2.20 to show and that's how much we won and lost -$3.80.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2012, 09:18:28 PM »

September 29:
Race 3:
6. Dreamcatcher (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2012, 09:58:21 PM »

Dreamcatcher came in 3rd. It paid $3.00 and thatís how much we won and lost -$3.00 in that race.
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2012, 10:03:47 PM »

September 30:
Race 9:
6. Turbo Compressor (5-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2012, 06:59:03 PM »

Turbo Compressor was 2nd. It paid $3.00 to place and $3.00 to show. We won $6.00 and broke even in the race.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2012, 07:32:40 PM »

I will have stats for my picks of the day for the season at the Santa Anita Fall. Also, an ROI as well. It'll be overall throughout the season.


Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
3      0   1   2   0   

Investment: $36
Money: $11.20
ROI: -$24.80
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journalstuff
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2012, 09:15:19 PM »

October 4:
Race 1:
8. Grand Corredora (4-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #11 on: October 04, 2012, 07:31:12 PM »

Grand Corredora came in 1st. It paid $6.80 to win, $3.80 to place and $2.80 to show. We won $13.40 and made a $7.80 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #12 on: October 04, 2012, 10:16:44 PM »

October 5:
Race 3:
10. Morocco Moon (9-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2012, 07:29:03 PM »

Morocco Moon came in 1st. It paid $ 14.00 to win, $7.80 to place and $4.20 to show. We won $26.00 and made a $20.00 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2012, 09:10:01 PM »

October 6:
Race 7:
12. Hammer the Bay (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2012, 10:32:27 PM »

Hammer the Bay came in 3rd. It paid $5.40 to show and thatís how much we won. We lost -$0.60.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #16 on: October 06, 2012, 10:53:44 PM »

October 7:
Race 2:
6. Jerryíshoneycarol (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #17 on: October 07, 2012, 10:30:17 PM »

Jerryíshoneycarol didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #18 on: October 07, 2012, 10:47:18 PM »

October 8:
Race 3:
4. Denís Legacy (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #19 on: October 08, 2012, 08:59:27 PM »

Denís Legacy came in 2nd. It paid $3.40 to place and $3.00 to show. We won $6.40 and made a $0.40 proft.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #20 on: October 08, 2012, 09:19:15 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
8      2   2   3   25   

Investment: $48
Money: $62.40
ROI: +$14.40
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journalstuff
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« Reply #21 on: October 10, 2012, 09:49:04 PM »

October 11:
Race 8:
10. Lanida (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2012, 07:19:31 PM »

Lanida didn't hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #23 on: October 11, 2012, 10:07:28 PM »

October 12:
Race 3:
7. Mia Isabel (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #24 on: October 12, 2012, 10:36:27 PM »

Mia Isabel came in 1st. It paid $4.60 to win and $2.20 to place. There was no show wagering so we won $6.80 and made a $2.80 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #25 on: October 12, 2012, 10:53:54 PM »

October 13:
Race 6:
11. Unusual Hottie (9-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #26 on: October 13, 2012, 05:46:38 PM »

October 14:
Race 6:
9. Minds Eyes (6-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #27 on: October 13, 2012, 06:19:39 PM »

Unusual Hottie came in 3rd. It paid $3.00 to show and that's how much we won. We lost -$3.00.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #28 on: October 14, 2012, 10:07:24 PM »

Minds Eyes came in 1st. It paid $13.40 to win, $6.20 to place and $4.20 to show. We won $23.80 and made a $17.80.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #29 on: October 14, 2012, 10:14:58 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
12      4   2   4   33   

Investment: $70
Money: $96.00
ROI: +$26.00
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journalstuff
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« Reply #30 on: October 17, 2012, 09:01:48 PM »

October 18:
Race 6:
5. Back At You (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #31 on: October 18, 2012, 10:52:50 PM »

Back At You came in 2nd. It paid $6.00 to place and $4.20 to show. We won $10.20 and made a $4.20 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #32 on: October 18, 2012, 11:07:21 PM »

October 19:
Race 4:
12. Funny Gal (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #33 on: October 19, 2012, 09:46:01 PM »

Funny Gal came in 1st. It paid $7.00 to win, $4.60 to place and $3.60 to show. We won $15.20 and made a $9.20 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #34 on: October 19, 2012, 09:51:31 PM »

October 20:
Race 9:
4. Won Won Oh Five (3-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #35 on: October 20, 2012, 10:51:26 PM »

Won Won Oh Five came in 1st. It paid $6.40 to win, $3.80 to place and $3.20 to show. We won $13.40 and made a $7.40.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #36 on: October 20, 2012, 10:51:46 PM »

October 21:
Race 8:
6. No Silent (9-5)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #37 on: October 21, 2012, 08:08:11 PM »

No Silent came in 2nd. It paid $2.20 to place and $2.10 to show. We won $4.30 and lost -$1.70.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #38 on: October 21, 2012, 08:08:48 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
16      6   4   4   37   

Investment: $94
Money: $139.10
ROI: +$45.10
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journalstuff
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« Reply #39 on: October 24, 2012, 11:00:31 PM »

October 25:
Race 4:
9. Stars and Moons (7-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #40 on: October 25, 2012, 05:09:47 PM »

Stars and Moons came in 3rd. It paid $3.20 to show and that's how much we won. We lost -$2.80.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #41 on: October 25, 2012, 09:31:59 PM »

October 26:
Race 7:
6. Purimís Dancer (5-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #42 on: October 26, 2012, 10:29:22 PM »

Purimís Dancer came in 1st. It paid $5.40 to win, $3.60 to place and $2.80 to show. We won $11.80 and made a $6.80 profit.
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« Reply #43 on: October 26, 2012, 10:48:24 PM »

October 27:
Race 1:
4. Remarkable Moon (5-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #44 on: October 27, 2012, 09:36:45 PM »

Remarkable Moon came in 1st. It paid $7.40 to win, $3.80 to place and $2.40 to show. We won $13.60 and made a $7.60 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #45 on: October 27, 2012, 09:37:06 PM »

October 28:
Race 5:
5. Miss Sweet Affleet (2-1)
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« Reply #46 on: October 28, 2012, 10:26:52 PM »

Miss Sweet Afleet came in 1st. It paid $2.80 to win, $2.10 to place and $2.10 to show. We won $7.00 and made a $1.00 profit.
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« Reply #47 on: October 28, 2012, 10:27:32 PM »

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
20      9   4   5   45   

Investment: $118
Money: $174.70
ROI: +$56.70
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journalstuff
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« Reply #48 on: October 31, 2012, 09:02:49 PM »

November 1:
Race 3:
1. Bluejoy (9-2)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #49 on: November 01, 2012, 09:13:58 PM »

Bluejoy didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #50 on: November 01, 2012, 09:30:10 PM »

November 2:
Race 9:
2. My Miss Aurelia (4-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #51 on: November 02, 2012, 08:05:57 PM »

My Miss Aurelia came in 2nd. It paid $5.80 to place and $4.00 to show. We won $9.80 and made a $3.00 profit.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #52 on: November 02, 2012, 08:41:24 PM »

November 3:
Race 6:
5. Fed Biz (6-1)
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journalstuff
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« Reply #53 on: November 03, 2012, 09:27:50 PM »

Fed Biz didnít hit the top 3. So we lost with our Pick of the Day.
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journalstuff
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« Reply #54 on: November 03, 2012, 09:33:04 PM »

November 4:
Race 6:
6. Indecise (7-2)
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« Reply #55 on: November 04, 2012, 11:38:08 PM »

Indecise was 3rd. It paid $4.00 to show and thatís how much we won. We lost -$2.00.
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« Reply #56 on: November 04, 2012, 11:45:39 PM »

Here's our final Santa Anita Fall stat:

Starts   1st   2nd   3rd   Win%   
24      9   5   6   37   

Investment: $142
Money: $188.50
ROI: +$46.50
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« Reply #57 on: November 04, 2012, 11:47:32 PM »

any final thoughts?
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Trainer Rusty
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« Reply #58 on: November 05, 2012, 04:30:11 PM »

I'm not saying this because I had it, but the 5 Marini something that won race 5 was surprisingly 9-1.  I thought it would be 3-1.  I knew the 2 would get play but the 5 had great works starting in July to now.  It may not even had a break in between those workouts?  There were so many people in that winners circle that they probably knew they had a runner.

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