Maywood Park - Race Card Analysis
Thursday, May 24, 2012
(Program odds in parentheses)
7 - ITSABOUTTONIGHT (7/2) ***Winner: $3.40 $2.40 $2.10***
Was a little too far back to a slow first half in her debut last week. Showed a good late burst, coming home in 28.3, to just miss. Prather/Miller combo hitting at a good clip. Watching for her to follow up the #6 and sweep by as they turn for home.
6 - MSRICHSTYLE (9/5)
Good spot for her Maywood debut. Comes off two solid tries at BMP. Might power past these.
1 - BONJOUR MADAM (9/2)
Broke at start last week and lost all chance. Flat mile and rail position might help her grab a piece of this.
4 - EVENING GOWN (8/1)
Winless in 31 tries. Makes 2012 debut. Showed speed in qualifier and has hits the board at times. Might hang on for a share.
5 - HIGH ON THE HOG (15/1)
Makes 2012 debut. Might need a start. Watch for now.
2 - OUR LAST ROSE (12/1)
Scratched sick last time. Qualifier on the slow side for this first starter. Let's give her a race.
8 - SALLY MOTO (30/1)
Makes 2012 debut. Was far back in qualifier. Pass for now.
3 - BS SMOKIN ARIZONA (6/1)
Winless in 57 tries. Pass.
1 - RIVER TSUNAMI (6/1)
Draws rail and takes on easier. Should be in position from here. Looks like a great spot to pick up her second win of the year.
7 - HARRIET POTTER (4/1)
Takes on easier, but draws poorly. Still, it looks like she should be able to get to the top. Has 25 lifetime wins on this track. Figures to be part of this.
2 - MARJAY DREAMS (3/1)
Tough trip last week. Tried a couple moves and fought to a second place finish. Does not win often, but can hit the ticket from here.
3 - KB'S TK (5/2)
Perfect trip last week and finished third. Fits well here and should be in the mix once again.
4 - BUTCHIE LIL TAX (8/1)
Finished a close sixth last time out. Can hit the board with the right trip.
6 - ANIGHTWITHWILMA (12/1)
Couldn't stay flat last time out. Qualified okay. Switch to Marcus Miller could help the cause. Watch for now.
5 - CLEVER SADIE (12/1)
Form is spiraling downward. Pass for now.
8 - GYPSYS LITTLE STAR (15/1)
Lackluster form. Tough draw. Pass.
2 - CHECK MY SWAGGER (3/1)
Made a nice move last time out, surging to the lead, before being overtaken in the stretch. Figures to build off that effort and has to be considered a major contender here.
6 - GIADA (8/1)
Caught my eye last time out as she stormed to the lead with a quick 27.4 opening quarter. Could get to the top a little easier and prove difficult to catch.
8 - TWEEDS FLY N STAR (6/1)
Makes first lifetime start. Comes in off a sharp qualifier. Tough spot from out here, but this is not the deepest of fields. Could be a contender right out of the box. Watch tote for clues.
3 - FAVORITE (4/1)
Has not been doing much over at BMP in recent weeks. This is probably a softer field than the ones she has been facing, but I need to see more before investing in this one.
5 - FINE TERROR (2/1)
Judges scratch last time out. Struggled against claiming company in previous races. Not buying the 2/1 program odds.
7 - APRIA AMIE (12/1)
She has tossed hints from time to time. Broke stride last time. A clean mile could see her hit the board.
1 - SO FULL JATE (15/1)
Makes 2012 debut. Draws well and gets Oosting, but really did not show much in four qualifiers. Watching for now.
4 - PRETTY PERKY (15/1)
Makes 2012 debut after a slew of slow qualifiers. Let's give her a race.
7 - STEPH'S MELODY (10/1) ***Winner: $26.80 $8.80 $5.60***
Road trouble has cost her in her last two races. With what figures to be a hot pace, things could set up nicely for this gal. With live cover, this one can sweep past tiring leaders late and pull off the upset.
1 - FREE PARKIN BEHIND (5/2)
Got pushed back to last in a screwy race last week. Still had a ton of horse at the end. Rail should, hopefully, keep her in good position.
4 - A PATCHY SUN (3/1)
Been showing high speed in recent weeks at BMP. Should blast to the top from here. Might prove tough to catch.
8 - POWER AND PURPOSE (8/1)
Another that wants the top. Tough assignment from out here. Will need a good early spot, or else she's looking at a parked mile. Form is too good to leave out. Needs best to win.
5 - PLEZEN MR HACKER (6/1)
Another that will add spice to the early pace. If she can avoid a parked mile, she has every right to contend with these.
2 - MS KATE (4/1)
Figures to benefit from another good trip. Hits the board often. Hard to rule out.
3 - MIKAYLA'S ROCKETTE (15/1)
Parked the mile last week and was still close at the finish. Struggles to win, but is in good enough form to be considered underneath.
6 - FOX VALLEY KATRINA (12/1)
Comes back to claimers after taking on tougher. Still, her form looks dismal and this appears to be a pretty rugged group of four claimers. Pass for now.
8 - FANCY CREEK IRIS (12/1)
Class of the race. Banked over $43,000 last year competing against some tough two-year olds. Makes fourth start of the year here, looks like a sweet spot to notch her first victory of 2012. Would like to see her blast to the top. Would love to get the 12/1 morning odds.
5 - ODDS ON GUINEVERE (2/1)
Closed strongly at BMP last week to finish second. 27.0 last panel was impressive. Could have some talent here. Must consider.
6 - BLISSFULL DREAMER (5/2)
Was parked out and, according to the program, hooked wheels with another rival. Takes on easier tonight. Could blast or follow cover. Either way, she rates with these.
1 - INXPRESSIBLEBEAUTY (4/1)
Impressively broke her maiden last time out. Figures to get a good trip from here. Can get a big slice of this.
2 - BY THE SEA SALLY (20/1)
Did not do anything from the outside in her 2012 debut. With the move inside, we could see a more aggressive effort from this one. Was in some big races as a two-year old. No surprise to see her hit the ticket.
3 - CRUISE QUEEN (6/1)
Scratched sick last time. Was an impressive winner on 4/26. A factor if ready.
7 - BELLVALLEY MIRACLE (8/1)
Keeps trying hard to end the losing streak. Tough spot from way out here. Slim shot at minor award.
4 - BANK ON HER (15/1)
Has not raced since chasing around claimers back in March. Pass.
6 - NIGHT'S ALL NIGHT (5/2) ***Winner: $4.20 $3.20 $2.20***
Went an absolute monster mile last week to get the win. Can't help but get an easier trip tonight. Maybe she can get to the top. Even if she doesn't, it might not matter if she can bring it like she did last week.
5 - STAR GAZED (8/1)
Raced well last time out against a tough winner. Should get live cover from #4 and has a shot to go by some of these late.
1 - CALISTA'S SHARK (4/1)
Rates with post shift and drop in class. Must use.
2 - ECHOES IN MY SOUL (10/1)
Rarely wins, but can get close. Made up a ton of ground in the stretch last week. Gimmick possibility.
4 - ZZZT (3/1)
Oosting returns to the reins tonight and that could make the difference. Fits with these. First over trip a concern.
8 - JUST FOR KEEPS (6/1)
Hazel Park invader looks like she fits at this level, but this post is hard to overcome. Pass for now.
7 - LITTLE BROWN SADIE (15/1)
Went a weird race last week and, ultimately, was DQ'd and placed seventh. Looks like she is in a tough spot from out here. Pass.
3 - STARRS FLASHY BABE (15/1)
Sheds the eight post, but her form looks dismal. Pass.
5 - CUZIMADEMYMINDUP (3/1) ***Winner: $3.40 $2.60 $2.10***
Went a big race in a needed start last week. Made a bold move and finished second. If she builds off that race, she should blow past these and take it all.
9 - FOX VALLEY VISTA (6/1)
Love the driver change to Oosting. She's been showing speed lately. Oosting will likely have her in good position from here. Can get a piece of this.
6 - JUNE P (9/2)
Is a perfect 3 for 3 on the year. Been getting easy leads and cruising. This field is tougher than the ones she had been toying with. Big test for her.
7 - SHE'S AUTOMATIC (7/2)
Twice beaten favorite looks like she'll take some action again. Think she can possibly hit the board, but it looks like she does not want to win.
4 - DASHING MAJORETTE (8/1)
Touted this gal a few times and don't have much to show for it. Still think the talent is there. Draws a little better tonight. Should be in better position to possibly hit the board.
1 - PRIMROSE PATH (15/1)
Rail should help, but form does not look appealing. Pass.
2 - LT'S SPORTY BABE (12/1)
Road trouble last time out hurt her chances. Still, form is lackluster. I'll pass.
3 - PARK PLACE GRACE (15/1)
Has not won in quite some time. Barely kept up with the field last time.
8 - WOLF CREEK CUPID (8/1)
Struggles to win. Tough spot from here.
7 - PARTY HANGOVER (5/2) ***Winner: $3.20 $2.60 $3.00***
Closed strongly last time out at BMP with a 26.3 last quarter. Should get live cover tonight and if she can mind her manners, she might be good enough to roll by these.
2 - ODDS ON RAGNELL (4/1)
Returns to the races after brief layoff. Schadt barn has been effective after layoffs, so I am reluctant to toss. Fits if ready.
6 - DRAGON FANTASY (6/1)
Parked the mile last week and then managed to hook wheels with a rival. Needs a big effort from here.
8 - CAM'S WARHAWK (12/1)
Couldn't get it done last time from the rail. Did, however, make up a bunch of ground in the stretch. Post might be too much to overcome. Slim chance.
1 - MESSIE HANOVER (10/1)
Was not close last three weeks at HOP. In a better spot here. Nearly wired the field last time she raced here. Gimmick possibility.
5 - KID ANNETTA (3/1)
Switches back to Oosting. Does not win many, but could sneak in this.
3 - SIMPLEE PACEFULL (8/1)
Gets close, but rarely wins. Can be a factor with right trip.
4 - GIBMEACHEAPTAN (15/1)
Recent form dismal. Looks like an auto-toss.
2 - SPORTY LEVI (8/1)
Returns to the claiming ranks after taking on tougher last time out. Fits nicely here and is a major contender in this spot. Wide open race. Price could be right here.
5 - NO GIN (6/1)
Was not far off from the seven hole last time out. Should find better striking position from this spot. Rates with these.
4 - FOX VALLEY TOCCOA (5/2)
Nearly wired the field last week. Figures to blast and will be tough to collar once again. Contender.
7 - RICH N SPORTY (12/1)
Makes debut for hot Affrunti barn. Recent form is dismal, but must respect anything sent out by this trainer. Watch tote for some clues.
8 - GUTS N GLORY (8/1)
Came home with a 27.3 final panel last week. Needs striking position, but if he's in range, he can fly by many of these late. Gimmick possibility.
6 - AMERICAN LEASE (4/1)
Drops back down to claimers. Oosting opted to drive #5 instead. Looks competitive against this field. Might leave. Has to be factored in.
3 - SHASKA (12/1)
Blew up the tote board last week, taking advantage of an inside trip. Likely won't get the same easy trip, but is in form and could get a piece.
1 - MAJOR WORRIES (3/1)
Winless in 15 tries this year. Rail/Roberts should keep him in contention. Gimmick hope.
3 - MO VALLEY MAGGIE (3/1) ***Winner: $3.20 $2.60 $2.40; Exacta: $11.00; Trifecta: $40.80***
Been battling much tougher over the past month. Should get on the lead from here and can be rugged on the front end. Trainer Affrunti red hot.
4 - KENNANS NANCY LEE (4/1)
Blew past a bunch of horses last time out and finished a fast closing second. Takes on easier tonight. Has to be considered.
1 - EPONA (6/1)
Showed some speed last week and was not far off at the end. Should use her early foot to her advantage in this spot. Could be in the two-hole and make an open stretch move. Rates here.
2 - ANDI'S SISTER (7/2)
Raced fairly well last week in a needed start. Should build off that effort and could be dangerous tonight. Trainer Prather winning at solid clip.
9 - FANCY TOO (15/1)
Been taking on better in recent weeks. Better spot tonight. If she can get herself in good position, she can be competitive with these. Gimmick possibility.
6 - PARTY TIL THE AM (12/1)
Racing very well right now. Might find live cover following up the #5. Will make presence felt.
8 - COLE STAR (12/1)
Grinded it out last week to pick up the win. Will have to go another tough mile to repeat. Needs best. Not completely out of the question.
7 - MADDISON PAIGE N (10/1)
Looks like her best work is done up close. Will have to work for a good spot from out here. Tough task.
5 - MACKENZIE'S POWER (8/1)
Was not much of a factor at this level last week. Needs to do more.
9 - FINAL ATTRIBUTE (3/1) ***Winner: $4.60 $3.20 $2.60***
Been taking on better. Was an easy winner last time she raced at this class. Oosting back at the controls. Should be in good position here. Can wear down this field.
1 - DESERT FLOWER (7/2)
Returns after competing well at BMP and HOP. Strong contender in this spot. Has four wins in eight lifetime starts on this oval.
3 - MELODIE HOTSPUR (10/1)
Was far back to a slow half last week. Been showing some strong last quarters. Winless in 14 starts this year, but with better striking position, this one could hit the ticket.
8 - MAKENA CAT (6/1)
Takes on tougher after a front stepping upset win last week. Will have to work hard for the lead from out here. Might change tactics. Hard to rule out. Fits against these.
6 - CHEESE PLUMPER (8/1)
The Plumper could show her speed tonight, but she'll need to be on the top of her game to hold this field off.
2 - FURIOUS FIVE (4/1)
Showed some speed last week, but didn't have much at the finish. Needs to do more.
4 - LYFSLYKABOXACHOCLT (12/1)
Was never a factor last week. Might be overmatched with these.
5 - MOOCHIESMONEYMAKER (15/1)
Has not been much of a factor in her last three starts. Toss.
7 - LITTLE SWEETHEART (15/1)
Has not been a factor in her last two starts. Tough spot from out here.
6 - SAMMOBRAND WILLOW (7/2)
Thought we had a winner with this guy until he was DQ'd last week. Makes debut for Longo barn and gets Oosting in the bike. Giving him another chance.
9 - ROCKET DOG (3/1)
Winless in 15 starts this year. Takes on an easier group here. Should be in good position and could be right there at the finish.
3 - MASTER JEEVES (6/1)
Tossed hints in last two races. Faces easier here. Rarely wins, but should get a piece of this.
5 - CAPTAIN RICE (15/1)
Closed well in last two races. Does not win often, but is tossing hints and looks like a good price shot to add to include in the High Five.
1 - KB'S GOINGCOMMANDO (8/1)
Speed, Roberts and rail should keep this guy in the mix. Hard to leave out of the High Five.
7 - TROIX HANOVER (9/2)
Usually fires for the lead, but has not held off a field in quite some time. Oosting opts off. Might hang on for minor award.
2 - REAL DESIRABLE (10/1)
Road trouble in last. Prior form on the dull side. Needs to do more.
4 - SPRINGLAKE DRAGON (12/1)
Not much of a factor with the rail last week. Has not been close in a while. Toss.
8 - OUR CHIP-E (15/1)
Poor form. Tough spot. Auto-toss.
CHECK MY SWAGGER (3rd race) - Finished third
CUZIMADEMYMINDUP (7th race) - Won: $3.40 $2.60 $2.10
PARTY HANGOVER (8th race) - Won: $3.20 $2.60 $3.00
RIVER TSUNAMI (2nd race) - Finished second
STEPH'S MELODY (4th race) - Won: $26.80 $8.80 $5.60
FANCY CREEK IRIS (5th race) - Finished fifth