Chicago Barn to Wire
Home | News | Bloggers | Forums | Resources | Links | Marketplace | Gallery | Contact Us | Search


November 28, 2014, 12:18:47 PM *
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
News: If you don't remember your password, email me.

New  registration procedures -- Some ISPs have been bouncing the verification emails.  Please email me to be activated or if you have any problems.  Click Contact Us above.
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register  
Pages: [1]   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: Pic 9 for a dime  (Read 1791 times)
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« on: November 10, 2005, 03:51:29 PM »

My tentative picks for tonight. I'm going halves with a buddy. We plan on spending about a 100 each. Here is what I'm thinking.
Race 3 -2/3/6/10
Race 4-3/4/6/9
Race 5-3/7
Race 6-2/3/5/6/7/8
Race 7-2/8/9/10
Race 8-5
Race 9-6
Race 10-4
Race 11-2/5/7
$115 each
Report to moderator   Logged
edwardwilliam
Annnnnnnnnd they're off!
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 6252

Rebate shops are not the devil.


WWW

Ignore
« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2005, 03:58:16 PM »

My tentative picks for tonight. I'm going halves with a buddy. We plan on spending about a 100 each. Here is what I'm thinking.
Race 3 -2/3/6/10
Race 4-3/4/6/9
Race 5-3/7
Race 6-2/3/5/6/7/8
Race 7-2/8/9/10
Race 8-5
Race 9-6
Race 10-4
Race 11-2/5/7
$115 each


Looks like a good ticket.  Obviously, with this many races, it takes a busload of luck anyway.

You may wish to consider playing muliple tickets, focusing on favs in different parts of the card.  It can give you more longshot coverage in many races, and to be honest, if it's ALL longshots, no one will hit it anyway.

Best,
EW
Report to moderator   Logged

Stick to Fantasyland pal, because you'll NEVER make it in the real world - TC
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2005, 04:15:31 PM »

Thanks EW. We're trying to keep it relatively cheap so I don't know about the multiple tickets. Like you said there is a busload of luck involved. I don't want to see any bombs tonight.(a couple of 15 dollar horses tho) Still waiting to hear from my partner(He hit a pick 4 at Maywood Friday night for 3300 and change for only 12 bucks)
Report to moderator   Logged
edwardwilliam
Annnnnnnnnd they're off!
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 6252

Rebate shops are not the devil.


WWW

Ignore
« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2005, 04:17:08 PM »

Thanks EW. We're trying to keep it relatively cheap so I don't know about the multiple tickets. Like you said there is a busload of luck involved. I don't want to see any bombs tonight.(a couple of 15 dollar horses tho) Still waiting to hear from my partner(He hit a pick 4 at Maywood Friday night for 3300 and change for only 12 bucks)

That was a nice P4 hit.

Monday night was another solid one -- still can't believe that Josh's Z Tam was a $40 horse.

Actually, the multiple tickets are cheaper -- the idea is that you don't have too many longshots on any one ticket (maybe only 3-4 deep races), because in reality, they aren't ALL going to come in.

Best,
EW
Report to moderator   Logged

Stick to Fantasyland pal, because you'll NEVER make it in the real world - TC
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2005, 04:20:44 PM »

With multiple tickets, do I need more singles?
Report to moderator   Logged
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2005, 04:30:17 PM »

To answer my own question, I think I use my singles with different combos.Thanks.
Report to moderator   Logged
edwardwilliam
Annnnnnnnnd they're off!
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 6252

Rebate shops are not the devil.


WWW

Ignore
« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2005, 04:49:44 PM »

To answer my own question, I think I use my singles with different combos.Thanks.

I think you've got the idea, but I'll use a P4 as an example, because it's easier.

Let's say it's a pretty deep one (Big M, for instance)...and you'd really like to play:

1-2-3-4-5/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2-3-4

Now, that's a $480 ticket, and let's say you want to trim it down...

In the four races, your keys are 1/1-2/1/1-2

So, you can play:
1/1-2/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2-3-4
1/1-2-3-4/1/1-2-3-4
1/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2
1-2-3-4-5/1-2/1/1-2-3-4
1-2-3-4-5/1-2/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2
1-2-3-4-5/1-2-3-4/1/1-2

And, as long as two of your keys connect, you have basically the same coverage.  Also, you can hit it more than once.  And, the bet is only $312, so you save $170 -- and give you a chance to hit it a couple times...

Granted, on a P4, you need SEVERAL bombs, but I think it illustrates the point.

Best,
EW
Report to moderator   Logged

Stick to Fantasyland pal, because you'll NEVER make it in the real world - TC
edwardwilliam
Annnnnnnnnd they're off!
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 6252

Rebate shops are not the devil.


WWW

Ignore
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2005, 05:00:05 PM »

Another example with the same idea....

Say you believe that at least ONE of your keys will reach...

1/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2-3-4
1-2-3-4-5/1-2/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2-3-4
1-2-3-4-5/1-2-3-4/1/1-2-3-4
1-2-3-4-5/1-2-3-4/1-2-3-4-5-6/1-2

That specific ticket only saves you $4, but you can reach several times if a couple of your keys come -- and otherwise, you'll still catch the bombs as long as you just get one key home (and in this case you have SIX key horses)

Best,
EW
Report to moderator   Logged

Stick to Fantasyland pal, because you'll NEVER make it in the real world - TC
Kenneth J. Chadwick
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 3047




Ignore
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2005, 05:33:58 PM »

Dear Group:

Let me be up front with everyone who reads this post, I am not here to discourage anyone in playing this Pic 9.

The fourth race is a killer race.  I think this race is 7 deep.

This discourages me from playing the PIC 3

All other races max dept to them 3-4.

I will attempt to do the math and see what a ticket will cost me to cover my bet.

I guess my brains are bigger than my b_ _ _s.

I got 10,752 combinations.

I think I will take a pass here tonight.
Report to moderator   Logged

It's a Wonderful Life, let's live every moment like its your last.
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2005, 05:42:27 PM »

That's interesting. I got your last example paying 656 tho. 1x4x6x4=96
5x2x6x4=240
5x4x1x4=80
5x4x6x2=240=656.
I gotta run but I was wondering if I missed something there. I'll be back later
Thanks, Childewood
Report to moderator   Logged
edwardwilliam
Annnnnnnnnd they're off!
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 6252

Rebate shops are not the devil.


WWW

Ignore
« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2005, 05:45:22 PM »

Dear Group:

Let me be up front with everyone who reads this post, I am not here to discourage anyone in playing this Pic 9.

The fourth race is a killer race.  I think this race is 7 deep.

This discourages me from playing the PIC 3

All other races max dept to them 3-4.

I will attempt to do the math and see what a ticket will cost me to cover my bet.

I guess my brains are bigger than my b_ _ _s.

I got 10,752 combinations.

I think I will take a pass here tonight.

It's tough bet, without a little more in the pot, IMO.

Childewood - I did total that up wrong, but it's the general idea that matters.  If you divide and conquer (and it's tough to do it without a real example), you can get about the same coverage (realistically, because all the bombs probably won't get there at once) for less.

Best,
EW
Report to moderator   Logged

Stick to Fantasyland pal, because you'll NEVER make it in the real world - TC
childewood
Hero Member
*****
Posts: 948




Ignore
« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2005, 08:51:43 PM »

Owen Julius at 70-1. OUCH!!!!
Report to moderator   Logged
Justafan
Guest

« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2005, 08:54:05 PM »

First time claimer was about the only reason to consider.  I didn't play him.

Randall Finn's horse in the 5th could be used on the same type of angle.
Report to moderator   Logged
HORSEY
Newbie
*
Posts: 45




Ignore
« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2005, 08:54:52 PM »

Owen Julius at 70-1. OUCH!!!!

Who cares, Tom Wendt was charged with insurance fraud.  Now were talking racing racing right Richard Breath, Joe B. and Burton?
Report to moderator   Logged
Dan Nance
Guest

« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2005, 09:18:56 PM »

Screw Tom Wendt and his insurance crap.

    I love BOOM BOOM. He just got" Chicago Red Hot " home for me at $19 and $7.60 to place.

   I'm having a good night boys, made four win bets and won them all. And to boot we get the extra change here in Vegas.
Report to moderator   Logged
sn
Guest

« Reply #15 on: November 11, 2005, 09:58:09 AM »

Owen DeJulious,
single handedly took down all the Pick 9 dime bettors!!!
Report to moderator   Logged
Pages: [1]   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.20 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!
Page created in 0.104 seconds with 16 queries.

Home
Upcoming events
Breeders' Cup
Horse slaughter in IL
Racing TV schedule
News Updates
Legislation

Galloping Out

Previous stories

Arlington
Balmoral
Hawthorne
Maywood
Chicago Sun-Times
Chicago Tribune
Blood-Horse
Daily Racing Form
Thoroughbred Times
Harness Link
Illinois Racing Board

 

2014

Breeders' Cup
Arlington Million
Triple Crown
Illinois Derby

2013

Breeders' Cup
Hawthorne Gold Cup
Arlington Million
Triple Crown
Illinois Derby

2012

Breeders' Cup
Hawthorne Gold Cup
Arlington Million
Triple Crown
Illinois Derby

More ebay items

 

Home | News Updates | Bloggers | Forums | Search
Resources | Links | Marketplace | Gallery | Advertising | Contact Us

Copyright © 2000-2014 Chicago Barn to Wire. All rights reserved.
Privacy policy