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Author Topic: DERBY POST POSITIONS  (Read 1136 times)
Alpha Mare
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OYE VEY!!!!



« on: April 28, 2010, 10:45:23 AM »

Post
 Horse
 Jockey
 Trainer
 ML odds
 
1
 Lookin At Lucky
 Garrett Gomez
 Bob Baffert
 3-to-1
 
2
 Ice Box
 Jose Lezcano
 Nick Zito
 10-to-1
 
3
 Noble’s Promise
 Willie Martinez
 Ken McPeek
 12-to-1
 
4
 Super Saver
 Calvin Borel
 Todd Pletcher
 15-to-1
 
5
 Line of David
 Rafael Bejarano
 John Sadler
 30-to-1
 
6
 Stately Victor
 Alan Garcia
 Mike Maker
 30-to-1
 
7
 American Lion
 David Flores
 Eoin Harty
 30-to-1
 
8
 Dean’s Kitten
 Robby Albarado
 Mike Maker
 50-to-1
 
9
 Make Music for Me
 Joel Rosario
 Alexis Barba
 50-to-1
 
10
 Paddy O’Prado
 Kent Desormeaux
 Dale Romans
 20-to-1
 
11
 Devil May Care
 John Velazquez
 Todd Pletcher
 10-to-1
 
12
 Conveyance
 Martin Garcia
 Bob Baffert
 12-to-1
 
13
 Jackson Bend
 Mike Smith
 Nick Zito
 15-to-1
 
14
 Mission Impazible
 Rajiv Maragh
 Todd Pletcher
 20-to-1
 
15
 Discreetly Mine
 Javier Castellano
 Todd Pletcher
 30-to-1
 
16
 Awesome Act
 Julien Leparoux
 Jeremy Noseda
 10-to-1
 
17
 Dublin
 Terry Thomson
 D. Wayne Lukas
 12-to-1
 
18
 Backtalk
 Miguel Mena
 Tom Amoss
 50-to-1
 
19
 Homeboykris
 Ramon Dominguez
 Richard Dutrow Jr.
 50-to-1
 
20
 Sidney’s Candy
 Joe Talamo
 John Sadler
 5-to-1
 

 

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Absolutely amazing.......s.m.h.....
pamwaggy
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« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2010, 10:49:48 AM »

Thanks Alpha... very interesting too.
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big wally
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« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2010, 11:01:44 AM »

1st quarter exacta box 5/12.
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Alpha Mare
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« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2010, 11:08:11 AM »

yea well, let's see, my top choice is out with fracture(endorsement)...my 2nd choice is in..awesome act....my other 2 superfecta box horses draw the 1 and the 20.....okaaayyyyyyyyy...............hey.... as far as my 'numbers'.....and my 'names'......dean's KITTEN is the 8-goes with the 2(ice box - who knows)...and the filly (girl power!!) is the 11- goes with 7....amer lion( a big cat) and they are all prices!!!! 
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Absolutely amazing.......s.m.h.....
Alpha Mare
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« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2010, 11:09:07 AM »

1st quarter exacta box 5/12.

1/2 half super box : 5-12-13-15.....
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Absolutely amazing.......s.m.h.....
JoeMama
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« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2010, 01:15:07 PM »

Awesome Act is interesting. In both the Gotham and Wood, the boy had hammerlocks on the animal, the horse was loaded for bear. In the Gotham, he lets him loose and he shows a huge turn of foot, it appears that he flattens out, and then digs in to hold the margin. In the longer Wood, loaded for bear, he lets him loose, shows a nice turn of foot, but flattens out to a greater degree. I love to see a horse loaded like that, it looks cool, I would like to see him relax a bit more especialy in the 1 1/4 mile Derby.... he could be out of gas after a mile. On the other hand, if he has the lead at the top of the stretch, he might be in the barn, the others will gasping the last 1/4 mile, most Derby winners have the lead by the 1/4 or 1/8 pole and are not caught late. I think he wins or tires to finish 20 lengths out. His runnin style might be more conducive to grass and Euro racing. I am concerned he will make an 1992 Arazi like move.
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« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2010, 01:31:48 PM »

                                                                      horse
I cant see backing Syd out of the 20 spot. I still really like Paddy and I like line of David and Im not gonna throw out Stately Victor at this point. I dont like Lucky in the 1 spot at all. Awesome Act looked good on the track also. Who here thinks the track will come up sloppy for Derby day??? Will it change your picks drastically?? Huh
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ChitownSteve75
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« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2010, 02:02:13 PM »

If Lookin at Lucky was a speed horse I'd say he'd be doomed but he's not. The post may not hurt him as much as you think. Do I like the post? No. However, he should break and settle and hopefully Gomez doesn't get him into trouble 3 straight races.
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ZENYATTA THE GREAT! NOT RA!
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« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2010, 02:04:07 PM »

Lookin At Lucky / Super Saver / Paddy O'Prado / Dublin - Trifecta Box $1 ($24)
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ZENYATTA THE GREAT! NOT RA!
sporthorse
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« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2010, 02:09:43 PM »

Im hoping Go Go doesnt get him in trouble again either but with him having the 1 spot that seems like asking for trouble. Hope Im wrong. Sadler commented Line of David did not work well at all on a sealed track, so if it comes up sloppy I gotta draw a line thru Line of David.
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JoeMama
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« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2010, 08:40:16 PM »

Discreetly Mine moves up on an off track. He is bred up and down for it. That fact that everyone and their uncle is talking about all of the speed and how hot the pace will be leads me to think that speed might be the way to go.

Noble's Promise is an interesting horse, he has shown gameness, long sustained moves, a quick turn of foot in once race, running well in traffic, and that he can run from any position in a race.... middle of pack, far back, and near the pace. The question people are asking is whether he can go 1 1/4 miles due to his bloodlines. I would like a bigger price.

I think I am focused on these two horses, and I might throw Awesome Act in the mix... against my better judgement. Nothing else to this point interests me.
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Edwarren
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« Reply #11 on: April 29, 2010, 01:52:24 AM »

Against the Line I like:

Line of David
American Lion
Deans Kitten
Jackson Bend
Mission Impazible
Backtalk
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The Minister
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« Reply #12 on: April 29, 2010, 06:11:48 AM »

American Lion and Line of David, at least I think, are going to get cooked early. I really do like Jackson Bend -- getting away from Eskandereya, to whom he was a distant second, twice, definitely helps. If the track comes up sloppy, I'm using Borel on Super Saver (probably using him anyway) -- knowing the track is just a huge plus and Borel is one of the best at Churchill.

The big question I have is can you use Pletcher horses for the win??
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pamwaggy
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« Reply #13 on: April 29, 2010, 12:14:29 PM »

Free pps on DRF.com for race number 11. Available now.
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« Reply #14 on: April 30, 2010, 10:04:31 AM »

Hunch plays:
I was talking to very nice gentlemen Wednesday night at Calexpo.
We introduced our selves the one gentleman's nickname is GoGo the other gentleman's name is T.
I asked them who they like in the Derby?
GoGo said 5/6 then T said the 5/6!
Just then a race went of at Calexpo the numbers in the Exacta were 5/6 the exact paid very well.
I went back up to these two Gentlemen and told them I too am going to play your numbers in the Derby.Look what just happened at Calexpo.
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" when I get got , I get my Glock"
pamwaggy
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« Reply #15 on: April 30, 2010, 11:26:46 AM »

That post made me remember what my grandpa told me one day at Ferndale. He said if you just can't pick a horse no matter what, just bet a 5/6 exacta.  Believe it or not, I have won many good ones this way. 

I only do it once in a great while and I think my grandfather it up there watching and makes sure I win!
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« Reply #16 on: April 30, 2010, 02:58:57 PM »

                                                                       horse
Im making my wagers early tomorrow and then headin home to watch the race on TV. Ive whittled my pics down to what I will call the final four for the Derby.
Paddy Oprado,Stately Victor,Sydneys Candy,Awesome Act exacta and tri box. I threw Syd out at first from the 20 post but he does have good early gate speed and can jockey for a good position before the first turn.
I still love Paddy...Bet a gray on a rainy day keeps humming thru my mind..
Stately Victor impressed me his last out and Grinder likes him too!!
Awesome Act is the dark horse I think might really shine thru tomorrow.
Best of luck to everyone tomorrow!!!! clover clover clover
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Moni for free
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« Reply #17 on: April 30, 2010, 03:05:48 PM »

That post made me remember what my grandpa told me one day at Ferndale. He said if you just can't pick a horse no matter what, just bet a 5/6 exacta.  Believe it or not, I have won many good ones this way. 

I only do it once in a great while and I think my grandfather it up there watching and makes sure I win!
here's hoping you're grandpappy is right one more time!
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