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Author Topic: Which is Easier??  (Read 692 times)
Brian Collier
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« on: March 09, 2006, 03:37:30 PM »

   Is it easier to pick 1 horse to show, or to pick 3 horses and for 1 of them to win?  Keep in mind, this is for a 9 horse race.
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swaymi
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« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2006, 03:58:46 PM »

that pick nine ticket cost 1968.30 if that is what you are trying to do is pick three horse in each race good luck....
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Brian Collier
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« Reply #2 on: March 09, 2006, 04:05:34 PM »

Actually I'm refering to the guy hat wager's $100 to show every race. We should have a handicapping contest on show horses, since some say it's not possible to come out ahead, and some do. Maybe for friday nights BigM.
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Fillmore Bear
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« Reply #3 on: March 09, 2006, 05:14:15 PM »

The win % of the first 3 betting choices combined is somewhat higher than the in the money % of the favorite.
Presumably this would extrapolate to almost any individual handicapper.
It's all but impossible to win betting to show.
There used to be a guy who bet place and show on Chicago harness and seemed like a Pro:BUT he was at the races EVERY night 2 hours to post watching warmups like his life was on the line AND he shopped the pools very carefully AND the takeout was about 3% less back then.



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BeauNarro
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« Reply #4 on: March 09, 2006, 05:25:00 PM »

screw win-place-show bets. I only bet trifectas. I usually key a horse to win with 3 others for $1. It's a $6 bet. I rarely put the favorite on top-only in my little $2 back-up bet. example below the #3 is the favorite:

5with 1-3-7with 1-3-7
3with 5with 1-7

$8 bucks total. I usually put two mid to high odds in with the favorite for second and third placers. You'd be surprised on now many big trifectas you will hit.
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EYEcanSEEitNOW
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« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2006, 06:06:24 PM »

Depends on what type of a race you are handicapping...

Take for instance a race at Maywood where there are 3 or 4 horses who have very little chance of winning in every race.... Then, of course, it is much easier to pick 3 horses in a race and have just one of them win..

Balmoral, on the other hand, would probably be easier to pick a show horse in most races...  In Crete, it almost seems as though anybody can have a shot at crossing the line first... One that comes to mind would be HEBE a few weeks back...  I couldn't have played that horse with monopoly money.. yet he wins and only pays $40...!!!!    He is a perfect example...  He is also a perfect example of why anybody who has the last name CALVERT isn't allowed to train horses in the state of Illinois any longer!!!       trotter
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