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Author Topic: When do you Handicap?  (Read 878 times)
Kenneth J. Chadwick
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« on: January 21, 2006, 01:56:48 PM »

Dear Group:

To stay on focus, when do you handicap the program? trotter

Illustrations:

I handicap the program:

The day before the races dude

The morning of

Between races thumbs down

When the starting gate starts moving geezer

Do you review your selections after you handicap the program?


Lets have some open dialog.
Kenneth J. Chadwick
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« Reply #1 on: January 21, 2006, 02:54:43 PM »

Dear Group:

To stay on focus, when do you handicap the program? trotter

Illustrations:

I handicap the program:

The day before the races dude

The morning of

Between races thumbs down

When the starting gate starts moving geezer

Do you review your selections after you handicap the program?


Lets have some open dialog.
Kenneth J. Chadwick

I would say it's a constant process.  I run numbers on each night's card, and always make replay notes -- so I suppose you could say I handicap the program a week in advance Wink

Most importantly, I believe that it's giving yourself time to analyze all the angles, and not rush a decision.  Personally, I have no idea how many of the people I see at the racetrack ever make a profit...that "speed handicapping" done within five minutes between races just doesn't do it for me.  But, to each his own.

Best,
EW
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« Reply #2 on: January 21, 2006, 06:06:14 PM »

i found a method at a young age...
handicrapping
it can be downright frigid...
i learned the method from grandpa...
and my mom...
we do it to get the american dream
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pacerfan
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« Reply #3 on: January 21, 2006, 07:12:02 PM »

Someone told me think long think wrong.

It seems like you need to handicap before you go to the track. Get your ideas about how the race SHOULD go. Who's leaving, who will try to close, etc.
I will always look for overlays, try to figure out why a horse is 4/1 in the morning line and now it is 8/1.
If i see no reason why it is 8/1, I will usually put a few bob on him to win and place.

I can't seem to hit anything these days.
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Harry Dapear
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« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2006, 02:13:37 AM »

I used to be a number cruncher but found out quick that any small incident can throw the numbers out the window. Bad drive, position, breaking horses etc. What I do now is watch the first two or three races and see if the winning trainer has anymore horses entered in the later races. If they have one or two more I go with it no matter what the horse looks like on paper.
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« Reply #5 on: January 22, 2006, 05:15:01 AM »

I myself don't like to pre-handicap ....I like to see how the track and weather are.....the wind and temp...I never do well when I handicap the day before....i will mark my betback horses if I see they had problems the week before but thats about it.
                                                             trotter
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Al Culess
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« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2006, 02:08:14 AM »

To have a distinct advantage you must be there live to observe. A big example would be the 5th race last Wed. at Balmoral. Pink Stilettos looked unbeatable on paper. A fair mutual of 4/5 was the bargain of the year. But if you were there to observe, it was obvious in the post parade that the horse had Oliguria. He ran like it also. Go live and observe.
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bowserkat
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« Reply #7 on: January 23, 2006, 03:29:21 PM »

 maroon Like to arrive early and do it then.  Have had little luck doing it the night before.  Of course, first I have to consult my notes.(bad drives, lack of any attempt, trouble --It's a thick notebook!)  When going bad-will look at the post parade, scores and spend about a minute on the program--this has often resulted in a turn-around.  Sometimes you make things too complicated.
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Mike Bozich
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« Reply #8 on: January 23, 2006, 03:49:53 PM »

The most important thing I think is to have fun. I know there are big time bettors out there that fire away and make some huge scores at times, but we have to remember that this is entertainment. Relaxing on the outdoor apron about 60 minutes to post time on a 70 degree night with the sounds of hoofbeats all around is truly heaven. Thats the ideal time to handicap in my opinion. I have found that handicapping the night before is overstudy. Lets face it, you can find good and bad in every horse. But getting there early on a nice night really gives it more of a ballpark feel, and that my friends is truly priceless.
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