Here's what I posted on a totally unrelated discussion list on April 25, but I think some other people read it, so that makes it okay for me to brag about it here:
Date: Wed, 25 Apr 2007 10:32:21 -0500
From: Terry B <xxxx@xxxxx>
Subject: re: Derby Time
Dean Barr wrote:
>OK people......it is TEN days til the Derby. Let 's cut the crap
>about poly, talking heads touting that longshot at podunk downs, you
>bet, who bet, tvg, hrtv, baseball on a horseracing forum, and the
>inevitable p*ssing contests between listers( you know who you are)
>and get down to the reason this list was created in the first place......
>The Derby. For such an opinionated lot we sure have become adept at
>avoiding that one burning question, WHO WILL WIN?
Well, it IS still more than a week, and these clowns ARE threatening
to make it difficult for many people to even bet the thing ... but
I say Street Sense will bounce back from that somewhat dull effort
over polytrack. He was the best horse of the bunch all winter and
early Spring, but all of a sudden loses favor because of a bad Blue
Grass? Remember Thunder Gulch, is all I can say. Gets the roses.
Circular Quay, you can't ignore the owner connections that have been
to the Derby WC before, even if he's got the Pletcher gorilla on his
back. Layoff concerns.
Curlin I have to include in my tri, just because I was at that
Ark. Derby and that was an impressive victory. Everyone can say now it
was a weak field, but it looked a lot more competitive before the race.
Asmussen as a derby winning trainer, I don't know.
Tiago, always have to include a west coast horse, and he has a good
Other bounceback candidates include Any Given Saturday, and Great Hunter.
Then Hard Spun, who knows. Poor horse is probably as confused as
connections. Scat Daddy, I think he's shot his wad, but can't ignore
for the super as a closer.
Those are the horses I might use lightly, defensively in exotics, if
Tracknet manages to straighten up its act and I don't boycott and stay
home to watch baseball on TV.