Balmoral Park (10/13/12)
Contact: Tom Kelley
(708) 672-1414
Saturday Players Guide
An inside look at Chicago harness racing
By Michael Antoniades, Chicago Racing Analyst Available on the web at oddsonracing.com
Welcome to the Players Guide
We will give you an informed look at tonight’s racing program in Chicago. We have tailored the Players Guide for several types of betting style. What is your style? For me personally, it means being a contrarian and taking some chances. I will bet against the favorite whenever possible, if I think there is VALUE in another selection. Sometimes the play is to key a favorite on top of the overvalued horses in exotics. If you are going to show a profit in this game, you must get value when you are investing your money. In the long run, creating this discipline is the difference between winning and losing.
The ratings list our top selections in order of their probability of winning. These ratings give no credence to the odds, although horses with value are included in these selections throughout the evening. It is our opinion of the top contenders, listed in order of their probability of winning. If you are a risk taker or value player, then Michael’s Plays should be of considerable interest to you. I will take calculated chances, selecting horses with more wagering value and higher odds. My plays may select fewer winners than my top-rated selection, but in the long run, I believe Michael’s Plays will give you a higher return on your investment.
In closing, I remind you that the name of the game is not selecting the most winners. The name of the game is making money. Our goal is to have a profitable year. For the serious player, we know that is your goal as well.
Saturday, October 13 Balmoral Park selections
50 cent trifecta and 10 cent superfecta wagering available
Nightly average handle $1,064,595 - Average race handle $95,524
| No. |
Michael's Ratings |
Top Rated Horse (Conservative Choice) |
Michael's Play (Speculative Opinion) |
| 1 |
9-6-10-4 |
9 Giant Sculpture |
6 Side Pocket Harry
| | 2 |
4-3-5-1 |
4 Fox Valley Action |
3 Big Brad
| | 3 |
7-2-3-8-5 |
7 JV’s Bad Boy |
8 Out Of My Hands
| | 4 |
6-10-5-7 |
6 Zot |
5 Four Starz Kid
| | 5 |
6-7-3-4 |
6 Collet Hotspur |
3 Sage Ruck
| | 6 |
8-1-6-5 |
8 Brooklyn’s Desire |
5 Bestnotgetinmyway
| | 7 |
7-3-9-2 |
7 Whirlwindiplomacy |
2 Smoke Rings
| | 8 |
3-1-5-2 |
3 Holdingallthecards |
2 Lee Ave
| | 9 |
8-4-6-5 |
8 Fox Valley Absolut |
5 China Gal
| | 10 |
2-1-7-5 |
2 Best Man Hanover |
5 Bell Valley Bill
| | 11 |
8-4-5-7 |
8 Love This Place |
5 If I Didn’t Care
| | 12 |
5-7-2-1 |
5 Morgan Shark |
1 Madoff
| | 13 |
5-3-7-2-8 |
5 Yermanos |
2 Dip N Chips |
$25,000 Guaranteed Pick 4 starts on Race 10
Low 15% takeout
BALMORAL PARK AVERAGE HANDLE
$ 1,037,643 PER NIGHT - $ 92,448 PER RACE
FREE PROGRAM PAGES NOW AVAILABLE AT WWW.USTROTTING.COM
BALMORAL PARK LEADING DRIVERS AVERAGES
MINIMUM 100 DRIVES THROUGH OCTOBER 10
| Rank |
Driver |
UDRS |
Last 7 programs |
| 1. |
MIKE OOSTING |
.306 |
16 FOR 67
| | 2. |
JOHNNY ROBERTS |
.288 |
6 FOR 41
| | 3. |
MARCUS MILLER |
.285 |
6 FOR 62
| | 4. |
TODD WARREN |
.270 |
8 FOR 58
| | 5. |
ROBERT SMOLIN |
.236 |
7 FOR 44
| | 6. |
TRAVIS SEEKMAN |
.230 |
0 FOR 10
| | 7. |
DAVE MAGEE |
.214 |
4 FOR 31 |
ANATOMY OF A BET
BALMORAL PARK PICK 4 HISTORY 2009 TO THE PRESENT
| Month |
2009 25% Takeout |
2010 15% Takeout |
2011 15% Takeout |
2012 15% Takeout |
| JAN |
$8,524 |
$7,698 |
$15,163 |
$28,675
| | FEB |
8,587 |
10,277 |
17,490 |
27,046
| | MAR |
9,739 |
10,923 |
15,629 |
40,316
| | APR |
7,750 |
11,021 |
26,584 |
32,715
| | MAY |
7,907 |
14,897 |
24,773 |
32,345
| | JUN |
9,425 |
14,109 |
24,708 |
31,798
| | JUL |
7,689 |
16,357 |
26,191 |
30,869
| | AUG |
8,160 |
12,570 |
23,658 |
30,822
| | SEP |
11,672 |
22,467 |
30,411 |
33,928
| | OCT |
7,432 |
15,670 |
28,016 |
29,192
| | NOV |
9,641 |
15,703 |
25,804 |
| | DEC |
10,349 |
12,584 |
23,519 |
| |
|
|
|
|
| | AVG. |
8,827 |
14,211 |
23,675 |
32,113 |
Free program pages are available at the USTA handicapping section.
My selections and harness racing news are available at oddsonracing.com.
For more information visit www.balmoralpark.com or call (708) 672-1414.
About Balmoral Park: Located in Crete, IL just 12 miles south of 80/94; Balmoral Park has been one of the nation's premier horse racing facilities since 1926. Balmoral Park features live racing every Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday. Admission and parking is always free.
|