Balmoral Park (9/16/11)
Contact: Tom Kelley
SUPER NIGHT XXIII THE PLAYERS GUIDE
EXPANDED SUPER NIGHT EDITION: THE NIGHT THE STARS COME OUT
By Michael Antoniades, Chicago Racing Analyst
Available on the web at oddsonracing.com
SEPTEMBER 17 AT BALMORAL PARK, FIRST POST 6:30 pm
$1,402,300 in purses tonight
RACES 5 THRU 9
$15,000 Guaranteed Pick Five pool
50 cent minimum
RACES 10 THRU 13
$25,000 Guaranteed Pick Four pool
$1 minimum 15% takeout
$25,000 Guaranteed High 5 pool
10 cent minimum
Free program pages at ustrotting.com
Saturday, September 17th Balmoral Park selections
||Top Rated Horse (Conservative Choice)
||Michael's Play (Speculative Opinion)
||5 Fox Valley Arrow
||3 Fox Valley Iliad
||7 Zumba Mouse
||2 Maplegrove Shaelynn
||1 Pancake Turner
||6 Financial Effort
||2 Just By Design
||7 Redhot Hart
||1 Fax Me
||3 The Assassinator
||2 M T Nester
||2 Mystical Victress
||7 No Respect
||10 Sleazy Does It
||6 Fort Silky
||7 Fox Valley Yukon
||5 Mystical MJ
||6 Fox Valley Praline
||2 Well To Do Guru
||7 Power Of A Moment
||5 Heís So Hot 3
||8 Crime Of Passion
||6 Zall Good|
PICK FIVE $15,000 GUARANTEED POOL
Tough opener, so we are going to go four deep. The Mystical Victress race was by far the fastest elimination and our first two selections come out of that race.
#1 FAX ME Followed the above to the wire in the fastest elim. Gets significant post relief here and would not be surprised if we got a more aggressive drive from the inside.
#3 THE ASSASSINATOR She comes out of the fast elimination. Paced a final ĺ of 1:21 and more importantly is Oostingís choice over #6. Nice inside spot in a race that appears to have little speed.
#2 TEMPERMENT Given a perfect drive last week and was not at her best. Certainly capable of winning if she comes back to some of her previous efforts.
#4 LINDEN BEAUTY The sleeper. Drove down to the rail behind a dull traveler last week and shuffled into oblivion two back. Paced a sub 1:50 mile at The Meadowlands last year.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 1-3-2-4
MICHAELíS PLAY #3 THE ASSASSINATOR
This is the race to spread out if you can. Any of these two year olds can win this wildly competitive race. If you do punch the all here with my other selections it is a $54 ticket. However letís roll the dice and try to get through this race four deep as well which will drop our ticket to $24.
#1 VAVOOMSTER and #1A WESTERN COLE
Strength in numbers with this entry. #1 bounced badly after a sharp win versus cheaper and 1A rode the pylons but gets a tougher post here.
#3 FOX VALLEY MAHALO The most consistent of this group. Last three have been good at three different tracks. Needs to be closer and that is highly possible with the move inside.
#2 M T NESTER My longshot choice. He came the last quarter in 26.4 , draws the rail and if this race comes down to a sprint he proved last week that he can fly late.
#7 SMOOTH TRANSITION Changed tactics last start with a grinding first over journey that took its toll late in the mile. Expect better.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 1-3-2-7
MICHAELíS PLAY #2 MT NESTER
This is our first of two single selections. We are using #2 Mystical Victress only. She is coming off her strongest race of the season and draws inside which gives Marcus Miller several options tactically.
#2 MYSTICAL VICTRESS She followed a dynamic 10 win season at two with a strong three year old campaign. As we said before , her elimination was the fastest by far and set a Balmoral Park track record. Her time of 1:50 was even more impressive when you consider that the other two elims went in 1:52.2 and 1:53. Unless she bounces of that last effort, I think she is simply too fast for this group right now.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 2-3-1-6
#2 MYSTICAL VICTRESS
Three deep here. Interesting race because none of my top contenders are inside. I expect four or five of these fillies to leave in here so I think the early fractions could be quick.
#7 NO RESPECT She overcame post eight with a sharp two move first over victory in her elimination.
Draws PP 7 but I fully expect Carlson to get her out of the gate in a hurry.
#10 SLEAZY DOES IT No excuse as the 1-2 fave off slow fractions in her last. She still came home under :27 so maybe thatís all sheís got off 1:28.2. Casey has to wing her out of there from PP 10 to have a chance. The favorite in her last four starts.
#6 MJís BID A lot better than she looks. The victim of poor cover in her last three races. She is inside her two main foes and that could be the advantage she needs to win the Orange and Blue.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 7-10-6-9
MICHAELíS PLAY #10 SLEAZY DOES IT
Final leg of the Pick Five and I am going to single # 6 Fort Silky. This is a big gamble. There are others that can win but you canít use everyone that has a chance in a pick five or else you would have to spend a lot more than $24.
#6 FORT SILKY Victim of a slow pace and a first over trip into a sub :54 last half. Three trouble trips before that. Hoping that Marcus can figure out a winning trip and donít forget that this horse can leave the gate well if he has to.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 6-8-4-5
MICHAELíS SINGLE #6 FORT SILKY
MICHAELíS 50 CENT PICK 5 TICKET
TOTAL INVESTMENT $24
PICK FOUR $25,000 GUARANTEED POOL
We are coming right out of the box with our lone single. And he is no cinch. The thought here is that if we gamble on this horse and we are right, we have leverage in the last three legs.
#7 FOX VALLEY YUKON Almost canít describe his trip last week. He desperately swung wide after being shuffled but could never find a clear lane. He would have recieved strong consideration from me in the final but horrible luck lands him in this consolation instead. Letís roll the dice.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 7-5-2-1
MICHAELíS SINGLE #7 FOX VALLEY YUKON
Hopefully we are still live off of our single.
We stretch out in this race with a trio of three year old fillies. If we can get by this leg we are half way home.
#5 MYSTICAL MJ Stormed to the front and held on gamely for her fifth victory in a row. Her versatility makes her very dangerous and drawing inside her two main foes is a plus as well.
#6 FOX VALLEY PRALINE Another lass who puts a winning streak on the line. Roberts has given her the easiest of trips in her last five wins so her ability to rough it is a question mark. That being said she is still my choice.
#7 FOX VALLEY TOUCHE She is due for some good luck. Three wide her last two starts and shuffled three and four back. Likely the highest price of the three and that is her obvious appeal.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 5-6-7-4
MICHAELíS PLAY #6 FOX VALLEY PRALINE
Here is the race we want a big price shot.
#2 WELL TO DO GURU Stole it with a 57.1 front half last week. It will not be as easy tonight but this horse has been rock solid all year. The one to beat
#6 DOUBLETROUBLE The defending champion. Stalked his opponents and came on strong in the final 100 yards for the elimination win. Can close a ton.
# POWER OF A MOMENT Two hole behind the winner but could not gain off that slow half. Expect a much quicker pace tonight. Those YR miles at a route are HUGE.
#9 GLASS PACK Blasted the fractions only to get tired in the final strides. A winner of almost $800,000 lifetime.
#10 BIG DADDY WOO WOO Just a question of how strong the early pace is. PP10 is dreadful but if the other battle it out, he has a fighters chance.
#3 SOUTHERN SPORT Looks like a pitch on paper, buthe was so far back off slow fractions and still passed a lot of horses. He needs a fast pace also.
#1 THISBIGDOGWILFIGHT His last was a lot better. Heís won over $885,000 and draws the rail. Can he do it?
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 2-6-7-9
MICHAELíS PLAY #7 POWER OF A MOMENT
Here is the significant betting angle in this race. The Dutch Richman elimination is tons better. Unfortunately it gives you the three favorites but if you are playing ten cent supers it gives you two giant longshots to hit the back end #1 and #6.
#5 HEíS SO HOT His winning streak ended with his third place finish in the elimination. Perfect spot to redeem himself in the final with Dutch Richman drawing outside.
#8 DUTCH RICHMAN Won the Orange and Blue last year at two, and could not have been more impressive winning last week. I am guessing Marcus has to leave here because he has to get away from the slower horses early.
Huge chance for back to back Super Night victories.
#3 ROCKIN RUMBLE My choice to upset the top two. Inside advantage makes Roberts the main player in how the early part of this race will go. Strong try last week off a month layoff. Primed for the Langley tonight.
PLAYERS GUIDE RATINGS 5-8-3-2
MICHAELíS PLAY #3 ROCKIN RUMBLE
Free program pages are available at the handicapping section at ustrotting.com.
My selections and harness racing news are available at oddsonracing.com.
For more information visit www.balmoralpark.com or call (708) 672-1414.
About Balmoral Park: Located in Crete, IL just 12 miles south of 80/94; Balmoral Park has been one of the nation's premier horse racing facilities since 1926. Balmoral Park features live racing every Wednesday, Saturday and Sunday. Admission and parking is always free.